Strongmanalytics

 On the eve of WSM 2022, there's been a lot of speculation about placings. Strongman is a super unpredictable sport, which is part of why it's so entertaining, but I decided to compile four quick lists which might predict how everyone places. I don't expect any of these to be any more accurate than a quick prediction thrown together by a fan, but it was interesting seeing how athletes compared by different metrics, and whether any of the lists happen to be close to the actual results!  My predictions  The most obvious way to predict performance is to look at how different athletes have performed in the same or similar events to those in the final. Still, there are loads of factors that can influence performance and many athletes haven't tried various events recently (or at all). I basically did a 'traditional' prediction for this - using information from  Strongman Archives , but also going off things like training footage and physical attributes. Going through ...

 Below are my event-by-event predictions for the WSM 2022 Final. I've made the predictions based on (a) past performance (heavily relying on Strongman Archives), (b) how athletes have done in the heats, (c) training footage, and (d) a lot of guessing. As anyone who follows the sports knows, you very rarely get through a contest with no surprises. People improve, people get injured, people drop implements etc... Still, it's fun to make predictions and gives us something to do while we wait until the excitement of staring at a spreadsheet! I'm sure I've gotten a few things wrong and missed some things that might influence results, so would be very happy to hear any thoughts on my predictions. My guesses probably aren't accurate, but I've tried not to let personal biases influence my decisions too much. To be honest, like most people I'm a fan of pretty much everyone competing. The person I most want to win is probably Novikov, but I haven't predicted that ...